Flood forecasting in river networks requires models that can capture both spatial dependencies across river basins and the temporal dynamics of hydrological processes.This study proposes a hybrid approach combining Gr...Flood forecasting in river networks requires models that can capture both spatial dependencies across river basins and the temporal dynamics of hydrological processes.This study proposes a hybrid approach combining Graph Neural Networks(GNNs)with temporal sequence models,such as Long Short‐Term Memory(LSTM)networks and Transformer encoders,to forecast water levels in the Vu Gia–Thu Bon(VGTB)River Basin,a highly flood‐prone catchment in Central Vietnam.The models are trained using multi‐source historical datasets,including water level observations,rainfall records,and reservoir release data,and are evaluated for their ability to predict water levels several hours in advance.Two model variants are developed:(1)a GNN‐LSTM model,which integrates GNN spatial learning with LSTM for temporal encoding,and(2)a GNNTransformer model,which leverages a Transformer encoder to effectively capture long‐range temporal dependencies.Results show that the hybrid GNN‐temporal models significantly outperform a conventional LSTM model,with the GNNTransformer model achieving a 20–30%reduction in root‐mean‐square error(RMSE).The GNN‐LSTM model also demonstrates notable improvements,highlighting the importance of incorporating river network connectivity into flood forecasting.The study demonstrates that the hybrid models are particularly effective during major flood events,as they better capture rapid water level rises and the spatial propagation of floods.The findings suggest that integrating graphbased spatial learning with advanced temporal encoders offers a promising direction for improving flood forecasting accuracy,thereby contributing to more effective flood risk management and water resources planning.展开更多
Too many climate committees, conferences, articles and publications continue to suggest a one and a half (1.5°C) to two degrees (2°C) Celsius as an achievable global limit to climate changes without estab...Too many climate committees, conferences, articles and publications continue to suggest a one and a half (1.5°C) to two degrees (2°C) Celsius as an achievable global limit to climate changes without establishment of any causal link to the proposed anti-warming mechanism. A comprehensive review has found instead that observationally informed projections of climate science underlying climate change offer a different outlook of five to six-degree (5°C - 6°C) increase as “most accurate” with regard to present trends, climate history and models, yielding the most likely outcome for 2100. The most causative triad for the present warming trend from 1950 to the present is identified in this paper: 1) the tripling (3×) of world population;2) the quadrupling (4×) of carbon emissions;and 3) the quintupling (5×) of the world energy consumption. This paper presents a quantitative, linear global temperature correlation to carbon dioxide levels that has great predictive value, a short temporal feedback loop, and the finding that it is also reversible. The Vostok ice core temperature and CO2 values for the past 400,000 years, with past sea level estimates have produced the sufficiently evidential “Hansen’s Graph”. Detailed analysis results in an equation for global average temperature change and an indebted, long-term sea level rise, from even a 20 ppm of CO2 change above 290 ppm, commonly taken as a baseline for levels before 1950. Comparison to the well-known 800,000 year old Dome C ice core is also performed. The best-performing climate change models and observational analysis are seen to project more warming than the average model often relied upon. World atmosphere, temperature, and sea level trends for 2100 and beyond are analyzed. A laboratory experiment proves the dramatic heat-entrapment capability of CO2 compared to pure air, which yields insights into the future global atmospheric system. Policy-relevant climate remediation, including gigaton carbon capture, zero and negative emissions and positive individual action, are reviewed and updated, with recommendations.展开更多
The sequence structures of emulsion-processed SBR and solution-processed (by lithium catalyst) SBR were investigated by 13C-NMR spectroscopy. Seventeen peaks within unsaturated carbon region were recorded under the...The sequence structures of emulsion-processed SBR and solution-processed (by lithium catalyst) SBR were investigated by 13C-NMR spectroscopy. Seventeen peaks within unsaturated carbon region were recorded under the adopted experimental conditions. Assignments for these peaks were made by empirical-parameter-evaluation method.展开更多
Effects of the KCI additions (1%, 3%, 5% and 7% of the phenolic resin mass ) on phase composition and microstructure of the resin carbon and the growth mechanism of carbon fibers were investigated by using commercia...Effects of the KCI additions (1%, 3%, 5% and 7% of the phenolic resin mass ) on phase composition and microstructure of the resin carbon and the growth mechanism of carbon fibers were investigated by using commercial liquid phenolic resin as carbon source and micron-scaled KCl us catalyzer, mixing, hexamethylene- tetramine solidification treating, carbon-embedded firing at 1 000 ℃ for 3 h in order to accelerate the graphitization of phenolic resin during carbonization. The results show that the graphitization degree of resin carbon is im- proved by catalysis of KCl, numerous carbon fibers with 30 - 200 nm in diameter and 10 - 20 μm in length and sheet-like carbon in situ grow in resin carbon. The opti- mal addition of KCl is 5% when lots of carbon fibers can be found in resin carbon, and doo2 diffraction peak of graphite appears obviously in the XRD pattern. The growth mechanism of carbon fiber is that the molten KCl at high temperatures absorbs carbonaceous gas from the decomposition of phenolic resin, accelerating the diffu- sion of solid C atoms in liquid KCl ; after the dissolution of C saturates, carbon atoms separate continuously in lo- cal parts to form carbon fibers or flakes ; meanwhile, the concentration gradient formed by local carbon atoms in the melt offers growth drive for the separation of carbon fibers or flakes on KCl surface.展开更多
My First Visit to Rtse Drugdgon Monastery I first heard about Bon religion through a friend ten years ago.Having heard from him how people refer to Bon religion as an"evil religion"and sometimes a"black...My First Visit to Rtse Drugdgon Monastery I first heard about Bon religion through a friend ten years ago.Having heard from him how people refer to Bon religion as an"evil religion"and sometimes a"black religion",I became quite terrified.In fact,Bon religion was actually the original Tibetan religion. Piously I prayed:"If one day I visit Tibet,please do not let me encounter Bon religion!"展开更多
This paper provides the results of using ground penetrating radar (GPR) method to detect hydrocarbon products (diesel and gasoline) in a controlled lab test. The work addresses the environmental problem generated by t...This paper provides the results of using ground penetrating radar (GPR) method to detect hydrocarbon products (diesel and gasoline) in a controlled lab test. The work addresses the environmental problem generated by the uncontrolled leakage of hydrocarbon products and the subsequent contamination of plumes in the subsoil. Most of the research proposes the geophysical techniques to evaluate the plumes but some controversial were discussed on how it affected the electrical and dielectric response depending on the excitation of the non-invasive method. The present work focuses on a comparative analysis of some signal attributes of the GPR traces to determine under what premises the detection is properly done. These signal attributes were from the time and frequency domain as attenuation coefficient, instantaneous amplitude and frequency have been considered to analyze three different soil samples. The laboratory tests consist of buried liquid (total hydrocarbon of petroleum, so called TPH) bags in the soil sample boxes reveal the range of target detection and consistency of data on the controlled test regarding the dielectric soil characterization and the delimiting position and depth. Instantaneous amplitude and time-frequency shift are revealed as promising signal attributes to accurate detection of the TPH presence. Numerical simulation data were also carried out to interpret the signal reflections on radargrams and to confirm experimental trends and the benefits of using the above signal attributes in time-frequency domain.展开更多
Objective:Burkholderiagladioli(B.gladioli)pathovar cocovenenans(BG),a foodborne pathogen,can cause lethal poisoning.Most cases have been reported_in China,primarily originating from fermented cereal products.In this s...Objective:Burkholderiagladioli(B.gladioli)pathovar cocovenenans(BG),a foodborne pathogen,can cause lethal poisoning.Most cases have been reported_in China,primarily originating from fermented cereal products.In this study,we investigated the prevalence of BGC contamination in commercially available fungi and analyzed the environmental conditions for bongkrekic acid(BA)production in Shanghai.BA testing and animal experiments were conducted to confirm the relationship between bon genes and BA biosynthesis,and to clarify the causes of poisoning.Methods:The association between the bon gene cluster and BA synthesis was analyzed through whole-genome sequencing and animal testing to identify the gene cluster responsible for BA synthesis.Results:The overall detection rate of B.gladioli in the 85 samples was 44.7%(38/85).The highest detection rate was in dried black fungus(94.4%;34/36),followed by fresh Tremella fuciformnis(T.fuciformis)(16.6%;2/12),fresh black fungus(9.1%;1/11),and dried T.fuciformis(3.8%;1/26).BGC was detected only in dried black fungus,with a detection rate of 39%(14/36).In the crude extract solutions obtained from the 14 BGC cultures,BA concentrations ranged from 0.33 μg/mL to 714.83 μg/mL.Both the crude extract solution and the ten.-fold concentrated solution caused death in mice.Conclusion:The results of this study demonstrate that all BGC strains carry the bon gene cluster encoding BA,indicating that bonABCDFGHIJKLM plays an essential role in the biosynthesis of BA.展开更多
Abstract Objectives To explore the potential use of ultrasound measurement (SoundScan 2000 Compact, Myriad Ultrasound Systems Ltd., Rehovot, Israel), and to assess both quantitative and qualitative properties of bone....Abstract Objectives To explore the potential use of ultrasound measurement (SoundScan 2000 Compact, Myriad Ultrasound Systems Ltd., Rehovot, Israel), and to assess both quantitative and qualitative properties of bone. Methods The speed of sound waves (SOS; m/s) propagating along the cortical bone was determined at the tibial shaft. The performance, reliability, validity, and clinical application of this system were evaluated in Japanese subjects. Results In phantom experiments, validity of this system was 0.04(%), coefficient variation (CV: %) in same-day tests was 0.12, in five-separate-day tests was 0.13, and in independent operators was 0.11, respectively. In experiments with Japanese subjects, CV in same-day tests was 0.38, in five-separate-day tests was 0.99, and in independent operators was 0.90, respectively. In addition, cortical bone status of 1176 Japanese subjects (372 males, 804 females) was clinically evaluated by SoundScan 2000 Compact. SOS was negatively correlated with body fat percentage (%), body fat (kg) and waist hip ratio in females and subjects with higher weight bearing index (leg strength/body weight; WBI) have higher SOS in females under the age of forty. Conclusions These findings indicate that the SoundScan 2000 Compact is a highly reliable and valid method for determining cortical bone status and body composition and WBI are closely related to cortical bone status in Japanese females.展开更多
摘要Flood forecasting in river networks requires models that can capture both spatial dependencies across river basins and the temporal dynamics of hydrological processes.This study proposes a hybrid approach combining Graph Neural Networks(GNNs)with temporal sequence models,such as Long Short‐Term Memory(LSTM)networks and Transformer encoders,to forecast water levels in the Vu Gia–Thu Bon(VGTB)River Basin,a highly flood‐prone catchment in Central Vietnam.The models are trained using multi‐source historical datasets,including water level observations,rainfall records,and reservoir release data,and are evaluated for their ability to predict water levels several hours in advance.Two model variants are developed:(1)a GNN‐LSTM model,which integrates GNN spatial learning with LSTM for temporal encoding,and(2)a GNNTransformer model,which leverages a Transformer encoder to effectively capture long‐range temporal dependencies.Results show that the hybrid GNN‐temporal models significantly outperform a conventional LSTM model,with the GNNTransformer model achieving a 20–30%reduction in root‐mean‐square error(RMSE).The GNN‐LSTM model also demonstrates notable improvements,highlighting the importance of incorporating river network connectivity into flood forecasting.The study demonstrates that the hybrid models are particularly effective during major flood events,as they better capture rapid water level rises and the spatial propagation of floods.The findings suggest that integrating graphbased spatial learning with advanced temporal encoders offers a promising direction for improving flood forecasting accuracy,thereby contributing to more effective flood risk management and water resources planning.
摘要Too many climate committees, conferences, articles and publications continue to suggest a one and a half (1.5°C) to two degrees (2°C) Celsius as an achievable global limit to climate changes without establishment of any causal link to the proposed anti-warming mechanism. A comprehensive review has found instead that observationally informed projections of climate science underlying climate change offer a different outlook of five to six-degree (5°C - 6°C) increase as “most accurate” with regard to present trends, climate history and models, yielding the most likely outcome for 2100. The most causative triad for the present warming trend from 1950 to the present is identified in this paper: 1) the tripling (3×) of world population;2) the quadrupling (4×) of carbon emissions;and 3) the quintupling (5×) of the world energy consumption. This paper presents a quantitative, linear global temperature correlation to carbon dioxide levels that has great predictive value, a short temporal feedback loop, and the finding that it is also reversible. The Vostok ice core temperature and CO2 values for the past 400,000 years, with past sea level estimates have produced the sufficiently evidential “Hansen’s Graph”. Detailed analysis results in an equation for global average temperature change and an indebted, long-term sea level rise, from even a 20 ppm of CO2 change above 290 ppm, commonly taken as a baseline for levels before 1950. Comparison to the well-known 800,000 year old Dome C ice core is also performed. The best-performing climate change models and observational analysis are seen to project more warming than the average model often relied upon. World atmosphere, temperature, and sea level trends for 2100 and beyond are analyzed. A laboratory experiment proves the dramatic heat-entrapment capability of CO2 compared to pure air, which yields insights into the future global atmospheric system. Policy-relevant climate remediation, including gigaton carbon capture, zero and negative emissions and positive individual action, are reviewed and updated, with recommendations.
摘要The sequence structures of emulsion-processed SBR and solution-processed (by lithium catalyst) SBR were investigated by 13C-NMR spectroscopy. Seventeen peaks within unsaturated carbon region were recorded under the adopted experimental conditions. Assignments for these peaks were made by empirical-parameter-evaluation method.
摘要Effects of the KCI additions (1%, 3%, 5% and 7% of the phenolic resin mass ) on phase composition and microstructure of the resin carbon and the growth mechanism of carbon fibers were investigated by using commercial liquid phenolic resin as carbon source and micron-scaled KCl us catalyzer, mixing, hexamethylene- tetramine solidification treating, carbon-embedded firing at 1 000 ℃ for 3 h in order to accelerate the graphitization of phenolic resin during carbonization. The results show that the graphitization degree of resin carbon is im- proved by catalysis of KCl, numerous carbon fibers with 30 - 200 nm in diameter and 10 - 20 μm in length and sheet-like carbon in situ grow in resin carbon. The opti- mal addition of KCl is 5% when lots of carbon fibers can be found in resin carbon, and doo2 diffraction peak of graphite appears obviously in the XRD pattern. The growth mechanism of carbon fiber is that the molten KCl at high temperatures absorbs carbonaceous gas from the decomposition of phenolic resin, accelerating the diffu- sion of solid C atoms in liquid KCl ; after the dissolution of C saturates, carbon atoms separate continuously in lo- cal parts to form carbon fibers or flakes ; meanwhile, the concentration gradient formed by local carbon atoms in the melt offers growth drive for the separation of carbon fibers or flakes on KCl surface.
摘要My First Visit to Rtse Drugdgon Monastery I first heard about Bon religion through a friend ten years ago.Having heard from him how people refer to Bon religion as an"evil religion"and sometimes a"black religion",I became quite terrified.In fact,Bon religion was actually the original Tibetan religion. Piously I prayed:"If one day I visit Tibet,please do not let me encounter Bon religion!"
摘要This paper provides the results of using ground penetrating radar (GPR) method to detect hydrocarbon products (diesel and gasoline) in a controlled lab test. The work addresses the environmental problem generated by the uncontrolled leakage of hydrocarbon products and the subsequent contamination of plumes in the subsoil. Most of the research proposes the geophysical techniques to evaluate the plumes but some controversial were discussed on how it affected the electrical and dielectric response depending on the excitation of the non-invasive method. The present work focuses on a comparative analysis of some signal attributes of the GPR traces to determine under what premises the detection is properly done. These signal attributes were from the time and frequency domain as attenuation coefficient, instantaneous amplitude and frequency have been considered to analyze three different soil samples. The laboratory tests consist of buried liquid (total hydrocarbon of petroleum, so called TPH) bags in the soil sample boxes reveal the range of target detection and consistency of data on the controlled test regarding the dielectric soil characterization and the delimiting position and depth. Instantaneous amplitude and time-frequency shift are revealed as promising signal attributes to accurate detection of the TPH presence. Numerical simulation data were also carried out to interpret the signal reflections on radargrams and to confirm experimental trends and the benefits of using the above signal attributes in time-frequency domain.
基金Supported by the Three-Year Initiative Plan for Strengthening Public Health System Construction in Shanghai(GW Ⅵ-3).
摘要Objective:Burkholderiagladioli(B.gladioli)pathovar cocovenenans(BG),a foodborne pathogen,can cause lethal poisoning.Most cases have been reported_in China,primarily originating from fermented cereal products.In this study,we investigated the prevalence of BGC contamination in commercially available fungi and analyzed the environmental conditions for bongkrekic acid(BA)production in Shanghai.BA testing and animal experiments were conducted to confirm the relationship between bon genes and BA biosynthesis,and to clarify the causes of poisoning.Methods:The association between the bon gene cluster and BA synthesis was analyzed through whole-genome sequencing and animal testing to identify the gene cluster responsible for BA synthesis.Results:The overall detection rate of B.gladioli in the 85 samples was 44.7%(38/85).The highest detection rate was in dried black fungus(94.4%;34/36),followed by fresh Tremella fuciformnis(T.fuciformis)(16.6%;2/12),fresh black fungus(9.1%;1/11),and dried T.fuciformis(3.8%;1/26).BGC was detected only in dried black fungus,with a detection rate of 39%(14/36).In the crude extract solutions obtained from the 14 BGC cultures,BA concentrations ranged from 0.33 μg/mL to 714.83 μg/mL.Both the crude extract solution and the ten.-fold concentrated solution caused death in mice.Conclusion:The results of this study demonstrate that all BGC strains carry the bon gene cluster encoding BA,indicating that bonABCDFGHIJKLM plays an essential role in the biosynthesis of BA.
摘要Abstract Objectives To explore the potential use of ultrasound measurement (SoundScan 2000 Compact, Myriad Ultrasound Systems Ltd., Rehovot, Israel), and to assess both quantitative and qualitative properties of bone. Methods The speed of sound waves (SOS; m/s) propagating along the cortical bone was determined at the tibial shaft. The performance, reliability, validity, and clinical application of this system were evaluated in Japanese subjects. Results In phantom experiments, validity of this system was 0.04(%), coefficient variation (CV: %) in same-day tests was 0.12, in five-separate-day tests was 0.13, and in independent operators was 0.11, respectively. In experiments with Japanese subjects, CV in same-day tests was 0.38, in five-separate-day tests was 0.99, and in independent operators was 0.90, respectively. In addition, cortical bone status of 1176 Japanese subjects (372 males, 804 females) was clinically evaluated by SoundScan 2000 Compact. SOS was negatively correlated with body fat percentage (%), body fat (kg) and waist hip ratio in females and subjects with higher weight bearing index (leg strength/body weight; WBI) have higher SOS in females under the age of forty. Conclusions These findings indicate that the SoundScan 2000 Compact is a highly reliable and valid method for determining cortical bone status and body composition and WBI are closely related to cortical bone status in Japanese females.