Theoretical investigations into the controlled growth of carbon films are essential for guiding the experimental fabrication of carbon-based devices.However,accurately simulating the deposition process remains a signi...Theoretical investigations into the controlled growth of carbon films are essential for guiding the experimental fabrication of carbon-based devices.However,accurately simulating the deposition process remains a significant challenge.In this work,we developed an active learning workflow to construct a machine learning-based neuroevolution potential(NEP)for investigating carbon atoms deposition growth on various substrates.By integrating molecular dynamics and time-stamped forcebiased Monte Carlo simulations,we studied the growth of amorphous carbon films on Si(111)and found that deposition energy strongly influenced bonding topology and film morphology.The NEP reliably captured the surface diffusion of carbon atoms,the formation of carbon chains and rings.We revealed a new growth mechanism of adhesion-driven growth at low energies and peening-induced densification at high energies of carbon atoms on Si(111)substrates.To evaluate the transferability of fitting workflow,we extended the NEP to simulate carbon deposition on Cu(111)and Al2O3(0001)surface.Simulation results demonstrate that the NEP can reproduce the subprocesses of graphene formation during carbon growth on the Cu(111)substrate.In contrast,only disordered carbon chains are observed on the Al2O3(0001)substrate.This work provides atomistic insights into the growth mechanisms of carbon films on representative substrates and establishes a robust computational framework for synthesis of diverse carbon nanostructures.展开更多
The Underwater Communication Link(UCL)is a crucial component of Underwater Wireless Optical Communication(UWOC)systems,requiring optimised design to mitigate the high power attenuation inherent in seawater.To ensure t...The Underwater Communication Link(UCL)is a crucial component of Underwater Wireless Optical Communication(UWOC)systems,requiring optimised design to mitigate the high power attenuation inherent in seawater.To ensure the reliability of an optimal UCL design,it is essential to account for the three primary scattering regimes:forward scattering(FSC),backward scattering(BSC),and isotropic scattering(ISC)in seawater channels.This study introduces a new photon-tracking model based on a discrete equation,facilitating Monte Carlo Simulation(MCS)to evaluate how different scattering regimes influence received photon distribution.Three distinct Scattering Regime Contribution Weight(SRCW)probability sets were employed,each representing different UCL operational configurations dominated by specific scattering regimes.The proposed modeling approach enables a comprehensive assessment of the temporal characteristics of received optical pulses,channel loss,and time spread-ultimately defining the optimal UCL design parameters.The key findings of this study include:(1)Enhancing the FSC regime dominance leads to a quasi-light waveguide effect over link spans and small Fields of View(FOV)25°)and extended link spans.(4)The developed novel MCS-based discrete equation provides a simple yet robust model for simulating photon propagation in both homogeneous and inhomogeneous underwater channels.These insights contribute to developing more efficient and reliable UCL designs with military standards by enhancing UWOC system performance over a longer linkspan for a given limited optical power across various underwater environments.展开更多
The morphologies of triblock copolymer/homopolymer blend films, ABA/A and ABAIB, confined between two neutral hard walls were studied via Monte Carlo (MC) simulation on a simple .cubic lattice. The effects of φh (...The morphologies of triblock copolymer/homopolymer blend films, ABA/A and ABAIB, confined between two neutral hard walls were studied via Monte Carlo (MC) simulation on a simple .cubic lattice. The effects of φh (the volume fraction of homopolymer) and Md/Mb (the molecular weight of homopolymer in relation to that of the corresponding blocks in the copolymer) on the morphologies were investigated in detail.展开更多
Access to water,energy,and food(WEF)remains a persistent challenge in many developing countries,particularly in rural areas where infrastructural limitations and socio-economic vulnerabilities intersect.At the househo...Access to water,energy,and food(WEF)remains a persistent challenge in many developing countries,particularly in rural areas where infrastructural limitations and socio-economic vulnerabilities intersect.At the household level,identifying the complex trade-offs and synergies within the water-energy-food(W-E-F)nexus remains a major challenge due to uncertainties and competing priorities.This study addressed this gap by applying partial correlation network analysis and Monte Carlo simulation(MCS)to model the interactions and sensitivities of WEF-related decisions among households.A cross-sectional survey was conducted with 655 households in the Amathole District Municipality(ADM),South Africa,using a mixed sampling approach.The analysis explored key trade-offs and synergies across the food-water(F-W),water-energy(W-E),food-energy(F-E),and W-E-F nexus dimensions.Findings revealed that income competition and transportation were major trade-offs,while solar pump use emerged as a significant synergy.Income competition had the highest node strength(0.872)and expected influence(1.117)in the W-E-F nexus trade-off network.Within the synergy network,the strongest node strength and expected influence were found for transportation(1.380 and 1.106,respectively)in the F-W nexus,good energy infrastructure(0.848 and 1.240,respectively)in the W-E nexus,and low energy cost(1.031 and 1.031,respectively)in the F-E nexus.Simulation results further indicated that income competition was highly sensitive to transportation and labour use,while synergies like solar pump use,good energy infrastructure,and low energy cost were most sensitive to changes in the use of modern energy,water saving technique,and use of modern energy,respectively.The study concluded that household-level WEF decisions were shaped by multidimensional trade-offs and synergies that were highly sensitive to resource access,infrastructure,and income dynamics.This study advanced understanding of household-level uncertainties in the W-E-F nexus and provided empirical evidence to inform policies aimed at strengthening household resilience and promoting sustainable governance.展开更多
The purpose of this article is to explore the cause of the over-response phenomenon of fiber x-ray sensor.The sensor is based on a length of PMMA fiber,whose end is filled with the scintillation material Gd2O2S:...The purpose of this article is to explore the cause of the over-response phenomenon of fiber x-ray sensor.The sensor is based on a length of PMMA fiber,whose end is filled with the scintillation material Gd2O2S:Tb.The Monte Carlo simulation software GEANT4 uses the phase space file provided by the International Atomic Energy Agency(IAEA),by irradiating the fiber x-ray sensor in the water phantom,counting the fluorescence signal of the optical fiber x-ray sensor after propagation through the fiber.In addition,the number of Cerenkov photons propagating through the fiber is also counted.Comparing this article with previous research,we believe that one of the reasons for the over-response of the fiber x-ray sensor is the non-linear response of the deposition energy of the scintillator to the fluorescence.By establishing a region of interest and counting the x-rays in this region,the simulation results show that the counted number of x-rays that may affect the fiber x-ray sensor is the biggest in the area of interest at a water depth of 5 cm.This result is close to the maximum dose point of the experimental and simulated percentage depth dose(PDD) curve of fiber x-ray sensor.Therefore,the second reason of the over-response phenomenon is believed to be fact that the inorganic materials such as Gd2O2S:Tb have larger effective atomic numbers,so the fiber x-ray sensors will cause more collisions with x-ray in a low energy region of 0.1 MeV-1.5 MeV.展开更多
The formation and evolution of aerosol in turbulent flows are ubiquitous in both industrial processes and nature. The intricate interaction of turbulent mixing and aerosol evolution in a canonical turbulent mixing lay...The formation and evolution of aerosol in turbulent flows are ubiquitous in both industrial processes and nature. The intricate interaction of turbulent mixing and aerosol evolution in a canonical turbulent mixing layer was investigated by a direct numerical simulation (DNS) in a recent study (Zhou, K., Attili, A., Alshaarawi, A., and Bisetti, F. Simulation of aerosol nucleation and growth in a turbulent mixing layer. Physics of Fluids, 26, 065106 (2014)). In this work, Monte Carlo (MC) simulation of aerosol evolution is carried out along Lagrangian trajectories obtained in the previous simulation, in order to quantify the error of the moment method used in the previous simulation. Moreover, the particle size distribution (PSD), not available in the previous works, is also investigated. Along a fluid parcel moving through the turbulent flow, temperature and vapor concentration exhibit complex fluctuations, triggering complicate aerosol processes and rendering complex PSD. However, the mean PSD is found to be bi-modal in most of the mixing layer except that a tri-modal distribution is found in the turbulent transition region. The simulated PSDs agree with the experiment observations available in the literature. A different explanation on the formation of such PSDs is provided.展开更多
Neutron scattering technology is suitable for the investigation of the structure and dynamics of the materials.It has been extensively employed in several fields of research,such as crystallography,geomechanics,molecu...Neutron scattering technology is suitable for the investigation of the structure and dynamics of the materials.It has been extensively employed in several fields of research,such as crystallography,geomechanics,molecular biology,and so on.With the establishment and operation of large neutron scientific facilities,such as the China Spallation Neutron Source(CSNS),advanced neutron scattering instruments equipped with high performance neutron detectors are needed urgently.With the increasing limited of the 3He gas resources,the neutron detectors with wide coverage area,high detection efficiency,and precise positional accuracy are devolved for the replace of traditional3He tubes has become a hot research topic.In this paper,a position sensitive scintillator neutron detector based on the Silicon Photomultiplier(SiPM)readout is proposed.The detector is composed of oblique 6LiF/ZnS(Ag)scintillator screens which create a louver structure,SiPMs and electronics.The SiPM has high-performance and low-cost,which is good for neutron detection efficiency and position resolution.The design of the Louver structure detector was described comprehensively in this paper.The Geant4 software based on the Monte Carlo simulation was used to study various key parameters of the detector.The tilt angle of the scintillation screen,the shape of the optical guide,and the pixel size of the SiPM are studied.The simulation results indicate that the 400 umthick 6LiF/ZnS(Ag)scintillation screens with 75°oblique angle coupled with a trapezoidal BK7 optical guides,the readout SiPMs with 3 mm×3 mm pixel size,and the charger-readout electronics,could composed the optimized detector.Using the center-of-gravity method,the position resolution of O.64 mm can achieve.The detection efficiency of the detector for thermal neutrons can exceed 80%.展开更多
The income approach of asset valuation estimates the asset value according to the asset-discounted future earnings or the capitalizing process. As a result, a reasonable prediction of asset-expected future returns has...The income approach of asset valuation estimates the asset value according to the asset-discounted future earnings or the capitalizing process. As a result, a reasonable prediction of asset-expected future returns has become one of the core contents of the income approach. The forecast on expected future earnings is generally based on many uncertain factors, such as strict conditions of assumption and the complexity of environment. However, the current valuation practice in this aspect varies greatly and sometimes depends on personally experienced judgment of appraisers. Therefore, the obtained valuation results tend to be simplified and absolutized. This paper takes a listed company in China as an example to explore the way of inserting an uncertainty analysis into the prediction of the income approach, and then to obtain a series of valuation results within a certain probability fluctuation range. Finally, it puts forward some suggestions about the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS).展开更多
Ground condition and construction(excavation and support)time and costs are the key factors in decision-making during planning and design phases of a tunnel project.An innovative methodology for probabilistic estimati...Ground condition and construction(excavation and support)time and costs are the key factors in decision-making during planning and design phases of a tunnel project.An innovative methodology for probabilistic estimation of ground condition and construction time and costs is proposed,which is an integration of the ground prediction approach based on Markov process,and the time and cost variance analysis based on Monte-Carlo(MC)simulation.The former provides the probabilistic description of ground classification along tunnel alignment according to the geological information revealed from geological profile and boreholes.The latter provides the probabilistic description of the expected construction time and costs for each operation according to the survey feedbacks from experts.Then an engineering application to Hamro tunnel is presented to demonstrate how the ground condition and the construction time and costs are estimated in a probabilistic way.In most items,in order to estimate the data needed for this methodology,a number of questionnaires are distributed among the tunneling experts and finally the mean values of the respondents are applied.These facilitate both the owners and the contractors to be aware of the risk that they should carry before construction,and are useful for both tendering and bidding.展开更多
Fracture systems have strong influence on the overall mechanical behavior of fractured rock masses dueto their relatively lower stiffness and shear strength than those of the rock matrix. Understanding theeffects of f...Fracture systems have strong influence on the overall mechanical behavior of fractured rock masses dueto their relatively lower stiffness and shear strength than those of the rock matrix. Understanding theeffects of fracture geometrical distribution, such as length, spacing, persistence and orientation, isimportant for quantifying the mechanical behavior of fractured rock masses. The relation betweenfracture geometry and the mechanical characteristics of the fractured rock mass is complicated due tothe fact that the fracture geometry and mechanical behaviors of fractured rock mass are stronglydependent on the length scale. In this paper, a comprehensive study was conducted to determine theeffects of fracture distribution on the equivalent continuum elastic compliance of fractured rock massesover a wide range of fracture lengths. To account for the stochastic nature of fracture distributions, threedifferent simulation techniques involving Oda's elastic compliance tensor, Monte Carlo simulation (MCS),and suitable probability density functions (PDFs) were employed to represent the elastic compliance offractured rock masses. To yield geologically realistic results, parameters for defining fracture distributionswere obtained from different geological fields. The influence of the key fracture parameters andtheir relations to the overall elastic behavior of the fractured rock mass were studied and discussed. Adetailed study was also carried out to investigate the validity of the use of a representative elementvolume (REV) in the equivalent continuum representation of fractured rock masses. A criterion was alsoproposed to determine the appropriate REV given the fracture distribution of the rock mass.展开更多
The cement mixing (CM) pile is a common method of improving soft offshore ground. The strength growth of CM piles under complex conditions is affected by many factors, especially the cement and moisture contents, and ...The cement mixing (CM) pile is a common method of improving soft offshore ground. The strength growth of CM piles under complex conditions is affected by many factors, especially the cement and moisture contents, and shows significant uncertainty. To investigate the stochasticity of the early strength of CM piles and its impact on the displacement and stability of a seawall, a series of laboratory tests and numerical analyses were carried out in this study. Vane shear tests were conducted on the cement-solidified soil to determine the relationships between the undrained shear strength su of the cement soil curing in the seawater and the cement content ac, as well as the in situ soil moisture content w. It can be inferred that the 24 h undrained shear strength follows a normal distribution. A numerical model considering the random CM pile strength was established to investigate the deformation of the seawall. Due to the uncertainty of CM pile strength, the displacement of the seawall demonstrates a certain discreteness. The decrease of the mean undrained shear strength of CM piles causes a corresponding increase in the average displacement of the seawall. When the mean strength of CM piles is lower than a certain threshold, there is a risk of instability. Furthermore, the heterogeneity of the strength within an individual CM pile also has an impact on seawall displacement. Attention should be paid to the uncertainty of CM pile strength to control displacement and stability.展开更多
This study presents a robust design method for autonomous photovoltaic (PV)-wind hybrid power systems to obtain an optimum system configuration insensitive to design variable variations. This issue has been formulated...This study presents a robust design method for autonomous photovoltaic (PV)-wind hybrid power systems to obtain an optimum system configuration insensitive to design variable variations. This issue has been formulated as a constraint multi-objective optimization problem, which is solved by a multi-objective genetic algorithm, NSGA-II. Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) method, combined with Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS), is applied to evaluate the stochastic system performance. The potential of the proposed method has been demonstrated by a conceptual system design. A comparative study between the proposed robust method and the deterministic method presented in literature has been conducted. The results indicate that the proposed method can find a large mount of Pareto optimal system configurations with better compromising performance than the deterministic method. The trade-off information may be derived by a systematical comparison of these configurations. The proposed robust design method should be useful for hybrid power systems that require both optimality and robustness.展开更多
The mean path length(MPL)of photons is a critical parameter to calculate tissue absorption coefficient as well as blood oxygenation using modified Beer-Lambert law,where in the differential path factor(DPF)is often as...The mean path length(MPL)of photons is a critical parameter to calculate tissue absorption coefficient as well as blood oxygenation using modified Beer-Lambert law,where in the differential path factor(DPF)is often assumed as constant over range of tissue absorption.By utilizing the Monte Carlo(MC)simulation of photon migrations in the leg,this study used four approaches to estimate MPL,and compared them with that determined by the MPL definition.The simulation results indicate that the DPF is remarkably affected by tissue absorption,at approximate 10% variation.A linear model is suggested to calculate MPL for measurements of tissue absorption as well as blood oxygenation using modified Beer-Lambert law.展开更多
Because of the recent growth in ground-level ozone and increased emission of volatile organic compounds(VOCs),VOC emission control has become a major concern in China.In response,emission caps to control VOC have been...Because of the recent growth in ground-level ozone and increased emission of volatile organic compounds(VOCs),VOC emission control has become a major concern in China.In response,emission caps to control VOC have been stipulated in recent policies,but few of them were constrained by the co-control target of PM2.5and ozone,and discussed the factor that influence the emission cap formulation.Herein,we proposed a framework for quantification of VOC emission caps constrained by targets for PM2.5and ozone via a new response surface modeling(RSM)technique,achieving 50%computational cost savings of the quantification.In the Pearl River Delta(PRD)region,the VOC emission caps constrained by air quality targets varied greatly with the NOxemission reduction level.If control measures in the surrounding areas of the PRD region were not considered,there could be two feasible strategies for VOC emission caps to meet air quality targets(160μg/m3for the maximum 8-hr-average 90th-percentile(MDA8-90%)ozone and 25μg/m3for the annual average of PM2.5):a moderate VOC emission cap with60%NOxemission reductions.If the ozone concentration target were reduced to 155μg/m3,deep NOxemission reductions is the only feasible ozone control measure in PRD.Optimization of seasonal VOC emission caps based on the Monte Carlo simulation could allow us to gain higher ozone benefits or greater VOC emission reductions.If VOC emissions were further reduced in autumn,MDA8-90%ozone could be lowered by 0.3-1.5μg/m3,equaling the ozone benefits of 10%VOC emission reduction measures.The method for VOC emission cap quantification and optimization proposed in this study could provide scientific guidance for coordinated control of regional PM2.5and O3pollution in China.展开更多
A method which adopts the combination of least squares support vector machine(LS-SVM) and Monte Carlo(MC) simulation is used to calculate the foundation settlement reliability.When using LS-SVM,choosing the traini...A method which adopts the combination of least squares support vector machine(LS-SVM) and Monte Carlo(MC) simulation is used to calculate the foundation settlement reliability.When using LS-SVM,choosing the training dataset and the values for LS-SVM parameters is the key.In a representative sense,the orthogonal experimental design with four factors and five levels is used to choose the inputs of the training dataset,and the outputs are calculated by using fast Lagrangian analysis continua(FLAC).The decimal ant colony algorithm(DACA) is also used to determine the parameters.Calculation results show that the values of the two parameters,and δ2 have great effect on the performance of LS-SVM.After the training of LS-SVM,the inputs are sampled according to the probabilistic distribution,and the outputs are predicted with the trained LS-SVM,thus the reliability analysis can be performed by the MC method.A program compiled by Matlab is employed to calculate its reliability.Results show that the method of combining LS-SVM and MC simulation is applicable to the reliability analysis of soft foundation settlement.展开更多
The phenomenon of stochastic bifurcation driven by the correlated non-Gaussian colored noise and the Gaussian white noise is investigated by the qualitative changes of steady states with the most probable phase portra...The phenomenon of stochastic bifurcation driven by the correlated non-Gaussian colored noise and the Gaussian white noise is investigated by the qualitative changes of steady states with the most probable phase portraits.To arrive at the Markovian approximation of the original non-Markovian stochastic process and derive the general approximate Fokker-Planck equation(FPE),we deal with the non-Gaussian colored noise and then adopt the unified colored noise approximation(UCNA).Subsequently,the theoretical equation concerning the most probable steady states is obtained by the maximum of the stationary probability density function(SPDF).The parameter of the uncorrelated additive noise intensity does enter the governing equation as a non-Markovian effect,which is in contrast to that of the uncorrelated Gaussian white noise case,where the parameter is absent from the governing equation,i.e.,the most probable steady states are mainly controlled by the uncorrelated multiplicative noise.Additionally,in comparison with the deterministic counterpart,some peculiar bifurcation behaviors with regard to the most probable steady states induced by the correlation time of non-Gaussian colored noise,the noise intensity,and the non-Gaussian noise deviation parameter are discussed.Moreover,the symmetry of the stochastic bifurcation diagrams is destroyed when the correlation between noises is concerned.Furthermore,the feasibility and accuracy of the analytical predictions are verified compared with those of the Monte Carlo(MC)simulations of the original system.展开更多
The surge in demand for renewable energy to combat the ever-escalating climate crisis promotes development of the energy-saving,carbon saving and reduction technologies.Shallow ground-source heat pump(GSHP)system is a...The surge in demand for renewable energy to combat the ever-escalating climate crisis promotes development of the energy-saving,carbon saving and reduction technologies.Shallow ground-source heat pump(GSHP)system is a promising carbon reduction technology that can stably and effectively exploit subsurface geothermal energy by taking advantage of load-bearing structural elements as heat transfer medium.However,the transformation of conventional geo-structures(e.g.piles)into heat exchangers between the ground and superstructures can potentially induce variable thermal axial stresses and displacements in piles.Traditional energy pile analysis methods often rely on deterministic and homogeneous soil parameter profiles for investigating thermo-mechanical soil-structure interaction,without consideration of soil spatial variability,model uncertainty or statistical uncertainty associated with interpolation of soil parameter profiles from limited site-specific measurements.In this study,a random finite difference model(FDM)is proposed to investigate the thermo-mechanical load-transfer mechanism of energy piles in granular soils.Spatially varying soil parameter profile is interpreted from limited site-specific measurements using Bayesian compressive sensing(BCS)with proper considering of soil spatial variability and other uncertainties in the framework of Monte Carlo simulation(MCS).Performance of the proposed method is demonstrated using an illustrative example.Results indicate that the proposed method enables an accurate evaluation of thermally induced axial stress/displacement and variation in null point(NP)location with quantified uncertainty.A series of sensitivity analyses are also carried out to assess effects of the pile-superstructure stiffness and measurement data number on the performance of the proposed method,leading to useful insights.展开更多
This paper proposes a novel method for solving the first-passage time probability problem of nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems.The safe domain boundary is exactly imposed into the radial basis function neural netwo...This paper proposes a novel method for solving the first-passage time probability problem of nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems.The safe domain boundary is exactly imposed into the radial basis function neural network(RBF-NN)architecture such that the solution is an admissible function of the boundary-value problem.In this way,the neural network solution can automatically satisfy the safe domain boundaries and no longer requires adding the corresponding loss terms,thus efficiently handling structure failure problems defined by various safe domain boundaries.The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated through three nonlinear stochastic examples defined by different safe domains,and the results are validated against the extensive Monte Carlo simulations(MCSs).展开更多
Traffic incidents are a major cause of non-recurrent congestion and delays,making accu-rate incident duration(ID)prediction essential for effective traffic management.While machine learning(ML)and deep learning(DL)mod...Traffic incidents are a major cause of non-recurrent congestion and delays,making accu-rate incident duration(ID)prediction essential for effective traffic management.While machine learning(ML)and deep learning(DL)models have been developed to predict ID and its sub-periods(verification,response,and clearance times),their reliability has not been systematically assessed.This study introduces a novel framework to evaluate the reli-ability of these predictions using 4000 traffic incident records.Non-parametric kernel den-sity estimation(KDE)effectively captured variations in the data,outperforming traditional parametric methods.Monte Carlo simulation(MCS)was then used to assess prediction reliability.Among the models tested,bagged ensemble trees provided the best balance between accuracy and complexity,showing strong reliability for predicting total ID and sub-periods.Adding 5–25%buffer adjustments further improved reliability by accounting for prediction uncertainties.This framework offers a robust tool for assessing prediction reliability,is adaptable to various ML and DL models,and represents a significant step for-ward in traffic incident management.展开更多
A sequential method for estimating the optical properties of two-layer biological tissues with spatially-resolved diffuse reflectance was proposed and validated using Monte Carlo simulations.The relationship between t...A sequential method for estimating the optical properties of two-layer biological tissues with spatially-resolved diffuse reflectance was proposed and validated using Monte Carlo simulations.The relationship between the penetration depth of detected photons and source-detector separation was first studied.Photons detected at larger source-detector separations generally penetrated deeper into the medium than those detected at small source-detector separations.The effect of each parameter involved in the two-layer diffusion model(i.e.,the absorption and reduced scattering coefficients(μa andμs′)of each layer,and the thickness of top layer)on reflectance was investigated.It was found that the relationship between the optical properties and thickness of top layer was a critical factor in determining whether photons would have sufficient interactions with the top layer and also penetrate into the bottom layer.The constraints for the proposed sequential estimation method were quantitatively determined by the curve fitting procedure coupledwith error contourmap analyses.Results showed that the optical properties of top layer could be determinedwithin 10%error using the semi-infinite diffusion model for reflectance profiles with properly selected start and end points,when the thickness of top layer was larger than two times its mean free path(mfp′).And the optical properties of the bottom layer could be estimatedwithin 10%error by the two-layer diffusion model,when the thickness of top layerwas b16 times its mfp′.The proposed sequential estimation method is promising for improving the estimation of the optical properties of two-layer tissues from the same spatially-resolved reflectance.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.52262021,and 51761004)Industry and Education Combination Innovation Platform of Intelligent Manufacturing and Graduate Joint Training Base at Guizhou University(Grant No.2020-520000-83-01-324061)+2 种基金the Guizhou Province Science and Technology Fund,China(Grant Nos.ZK[2021]051,ZK[2023]013)High-level Creative Talent Training Program in Guizhou Province of China(Grant No.[2015]4015)Guizhou Engineering Research Center forsmart services(Grant No.2203-520102-04-04-298868).
摘要Theoretical investigations into the controlled growth of carbon films are essential for guiding the experimental fabrication of carbon-based devices.However,accurately simulating the deposition process remains a significant challenge.In this work,we developed an active learning workflow to construct a machine learning-based neuroevolution potential(NEP)for investigating carbon atoms deposition growth on various substrates.By integrating molecular dynamics and time-stamped forcebiased Monte Carlo simulations,we studied the growth of amorphous carbon films on Si(111)and found that deposition energy strongly influenced bonding topology and film morphology.The NEP reliably captured the surface diffusion of carbon atoms,the formation of carbon chains and rings.We revealed a new growth mechanism of adhesion-driven growth at low energies and peening-induced densification at high energies of carbon atoms on Si(111)substrates.To evaluate the transferability of fitting workflow,we extended the NEP to simulate carbon deposition on Cu(111)and Al2O3(0001)surface.Simulation results demonstrate that the NEP can reproduce the subprocesses of graphene formation during carbon growth on the Cu(111)substrate.In contrast,only disordered carbon chains are observed on the Al2O3(0001)substrate.This work provides atomistic insights into the growth mechanisms of carbon films on representative substrates and establishes a robust computational framework for synthesis of diverse carbon nanostructures.
基金The Deanship of Scientific Research(DSR)at King Abdulaziz University(KAU),Jeddah,Saudi Arabia,has funded this project under Grant No.(KEP-PhD:72-130-1443).
摘要The Underwater Communication Link(UCL)is a crucial component of Underwater Wireless Optical Communication(UWOC)systems,requiring optimised design to mitigate the high power attenuation inherent in seawater.To ensure the reliability of an optimal UCL design,it is essential to account for the three primary scattering regimes:forward scattering(FSC),backward scattering(BSC),and isotropic scattering(ISC)in seawater channels.This study introduces a new photon-tracking model based on a discrete equation,facilitating Monte Carlo Simulation(MCS)to evaluate how different scattering regimes influence received photon distribution.Three distinct Scattering Regime Contribution Weight(SRCW)probability sets were employed,each representing different UCL operational configurations dominated by specific scattering regimes.The proposed modeling approach enables a comprehensive assessment of the temporal characteristics of received optical pulses,channel loss,and time spread-ultimately defining the optimal UCL design parameters.The key findings of this study include:(1)Enhancing the FSC regime dominance leads to a quasi-light waveguide effect over link spans and small Fields of View(FOV)25°)and extended link spans.(4)The developed novel MCS-based discrete equation provides a simple yet robust model for simulating photon propagation in both homogeneous and inhomogeneous underwater channels.These insights contribute to developing more efficient and reliable UCL designs with military standards by enhancing UWOC system performance over a longer linkspan for a given limited optical power across various underwater environments.
基金Acknowledgements This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Projects No. 20236010. 20476025, 20490200). E-Institute of Shanghai High Institution Grid (No.200303) and Shanghai Municipal Education Commission of China.
摘要The morphologies of triblock copolymer/homopolymer blend films, ABA/A and ABAIB, confined between two neutral hard walls were studied via Monte Carlo (MC) simulation on a simple .cubic lattice. The effects of φh (the volume fraction of homopolymer) and Md/Mb (the molecular weight of homopolymer in relation to that of the corresponding blocks in the copolymer) on the morphologies were investigated in detail.
基金funded under a PhD scholarship by the National Research Foundation of South Africa(Grant number:MND200506520320)。
摘要Access to water,energy,and food(WEF)remains a persistent challenge in many developing countries,particularly in rural areas where infrastructural limitations and socio-economic vulnerabilities intersect.At the household level,identifying the complex trade-offs and synergies within the water-energy-food(W-E-F)nexus remains a major challenge due to uncertainties and competing priorities.This study addressed this gap by applying partial correlation network analysis and Monte Carlo simulation(MCS)to model the interactions and sensitivities of WEF-related decisions among households.A cross-sectional survey was conducted with 655 households in the Amathole District Municipality(ADM),South Africa,using a mixed sampling approach.The analysis explored key trade-offs and synergies across the food-water(F-W),water-energy(W-E),food-energy(F-E),and W-E-F nexus dimensions.Findings revealed that income competition and transportation were major trade-offs,while solar pump use emerged as a significant synergy.Income competition had the highest node strength(0.872)and expected influence(1.117)in the W-E-F nexus trade-off network.Within the synergy network,the strongest node strength and expected influence were found for transportation(1.380 and 1.106,respectively)in the F-W nexus,good energy infrastructure(0.848 and 1.240,respectively)in the W-E nexus,and low energy cost(1.031 and 1.031,respectively)in the F-E nexus.Simulation results further indicated that income competition was highly sensitive to transportation and labour use,while synergies like solar pump use,good energy infrastructure,and low energy cost were most sensitive to changes in the use of modern energy,water saving technique,and use of modern energy,respectively.The study concluded that household-level WEF decisions were shaped by multidimensional trade-offs and synergies that were highly sensitive to resource access,infrastructure,and income dynamics.This study advanced understanding of household-level uncertainties in the W-E-F nexus and provided empirical evidence to inform policies aimed at strengthening household resilience and promoting sustainable governance.
基金Project supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Heilongjiang ProvinceChina(Grant No.ZD2019H003)+4 种基金the Joint Research Fund in Astronomy under Cooperative Agreement Between the National Natural Science Foundation of China and Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant Nos.U1631239 and U1931206)the 111 ProjectChina(Grant No.B13015)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities to the Harbin Engineering UniversityChina。
摘要The purpose of this article is to explore the cause of the over-response phenomenon of fiber x-ray sensor.The sensor is based on a length of PMMA fiber,whose end is filled with the scintillation material Gd2O2S:Tb.The Monte Carlo simulation software GEANT4 uses the phase space file provided by the International Atomic Energy Agency(IAEA),by irradiating the fiber x-ray sensor in the water phantom,counting the fluorescence signal of the optical fiber x-ray sensor after propagation through the fiber.In addition,the number of Cerenkov photons propagating through the fiber is also counted.Comparing this article with previous research,we believe that one of the reasons for the over-response of the fiber x-ray sensor is the non-linear response of the deposition energy of the scintillator to the fluorescence.By establishing a region of interest and counting the x-rays in this region,the simulation results show that the counted number of x-rays that may affect the fiber x-ray sensor is the biggest in the area of interest at a water depth of 5 cm.This result is close to the maximum dose point of the experimental and simulated percentage depth dose(PDD) curve of fiber x-ray sensor.Therefore,the second reason of the over-response phenomenon is believed to be fact that the inorganic materials such as Gd2O2S:Tb have larger effective atomic numbers,so the fiber x-ray sensors will cause more collisions with x-ray in a low energy region of 0.1 MeV-1.5 MeV.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.11402179 and11572274)
摘要The formation and evolution of aerosol in turbulent flows are ubiquitous in both industrial processes and nature. The intricate interaction of turbulent mixing and aerosol evolution in a canonical turbulent mixing layer was investigated by a direct numerical simulation (DNS) in a recent study (Zhou, K., Attili, A., Alshaarawi, A., and Bisetti, F. Simulation of aerosol nucleation and growth in a turbulent mixing layer. Physics of Fluids, 26, 065106 (2014)). In this work, Monte Carlo (MC) simulation of aerosol evolution is carried out along Lagrangian trajectories obtained in the previous simulation, in order to quantify the error of the moment method used in the previous simulation. Moreover, the particle size distribution (PSD), not available in the previous works, is also investigated. Along a fluid parcel moving through the turbulent flow, temperature and vapor concentration exhibit complex fluctuations, triggering complicate aerosol processes and rendering complex PSD. However, the mean PSD is found to be bi-modal in most of the mixing layer except that a tri-modal distribution is found in the turbulent transition region. The simulated PSDs agree with the experiment observations available in the literature. A different explanation on the formation of such PSDs is provided.
基金National Key R and amp,D Program of China under Contracts,No.2023YFE0105700bin tang,Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation of Guangdong Province,No.2022B1515120071+1 种基金bin tang,Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Advanced Particle Detection Technology,No.2024B1212010005bin tang,the Youth Fund of the National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.12305347,L Yu。
摘要Neutron scattering technology is suitable for the investigation of the structure and dynamics of the materials.It has been extensively employed in several fields of research,such as crystallography,geomechanics,molecular biology,and so on.With the establishment and operation of large neutron scientific facilities,such as the China Spallation Neutron Source(CSNS),advanced neutron scattering instruments equipped with high performance neutron detectors are needed urgently.With the increasing limited of the 3He gas resources,the neutron detectors with wide coverage area,high detection efficiency,and precise positional accuracy are devolved for the replace of traditional3He tubes has become a hot research topic.In this paper,a position sensitive scintillator neutron detector based on the Silicon Photomultiplier(SiPM)readout is proposed.The detector is composed of oblique 6LiF/ZnS(Ag)scintillator screens which create a louver structure,SiPMs and electronics.The SiPM has high-performance and low-cost,which is good for neutron detection efficiency and position resolution.The design of the Louver structure detector was described comprehensively in this paper.The Geant4 software based on the Monte Carlo simulation was used to study various key parameters of the detector.The tilt angle of the scintillation screen,the shape of the optical guide,and the pixel size of the SiPM are studied.The simulation results indicate that the 400 umthick 6LiF/ZnS(Ag)scintillation screens with 75°oblique angle coupled with a trapezoidal BK7 optical guides,the readout SiPMs with 3 mm×3 mm pixel size,and the charger-readout electronics,could composed the optimized detector.Using the center-of-gravity method,the position resolution of O.64 mm can achieve.The detection efficiency of the detector for thermal neutrons can exceed 80%.
摘要The income approach of asset valuation estimates the asset value according to the asset-discounted future earnings or the capitalizing process. As a result, a reasonable prediction of asset-expected future returns has become one of the core contents of the income approach. The forecast on expected future earnings is generally based on many uncertain factors, such as strict conditions of assumption and the complexity of environment. However, the current valuation practice in this aspect varies greatly and sometimes depends on personally experienced judgment of appraisers. Therefore, the obtained valuation results tend to be simplified and absolutized. This paper takes a listed company in China as an example to explore the way of inserting an uncertainty analysis into the prediction of the income approach, and then to obtain a series of valuation results within a certain probability fluctuation range. Finally, it puts forward some suggestions about the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS).
摘要Ground condition and construction(excavation and support)time and costs are the key factors in decision-making during planning and design phases of a tunnel project.An innovative methodology for probabilistic estimation of ground condition and construction time and costs is proposed,which is an integration of the ground prediction approach based on Markov process,and the time and cost variance analysis based on Monte-Carlo(MC)simulation.The former provides the probabilistic description of ground classification along tunnel alignment according to the geological information revealed from geological profile and boreholes.The latter provides the probabilistic description of the expected construction time and costs for each operation according to the survey feedbacks from experts.Then an engineering application to Hamro tunnel is presented to demonstrate how the ground condition and the construction time and costs are estimated in a probabilistic way.In most items,in order to estimate the data needed for this methodology,a number of questionnaires are distributed among the tunneling experts and finally the mean values of the respondents are applied.These facilitate both the owners and the contractors to be aware of the risk that they should carry before construction,and are useful for both tendering and bidding.
基金supported as part of the project funded by the U.S.Department of Energy under Grant No.DE-FE0002058
摘要Fracture systems have strong influence on the overall mechanical behavior of fractured rock masses dueto their relatively lower stiffness and shear strength than those of the rock matrix. Understanding theeffects of fracture geometrical distribution, such as length, spacing, persistence and orientation, isimportant for quantifying the mechanical behavior of fractured rock masses. The relation betweenfracture geometry and the mechanical characteristics of the fractured rock mass is complicated due tothe fact that the fracture geometry and mechanical behaviors of fractured rock mass are stronglydependent on the length scale. In this paper, a comprehensive study was conducted to determine theeffects of fracture distribution on the equivalent continuum elastic compliance of fractured rock massesover a wide range of fracture lengths. To account for the stochastic nature of fracture distributions, threedifferent simulation techniques involving Oda's elastic compliance tensor, Monte Carlo simulation (MCS),and suitable probability density functions (PDFs) were employed to represent the elastic compliance offractured rock masses. To yield geologically realistic results, parameters for defining fracture distributionswere obtained from different geological fields. The influence of the key fracture parameters andtheir relations to the overall elastic behavior of the fractured rock mass were studied and discussed. Adetailed study was also carried out to investigate the validity of the use of a representative elementvolume (REV) in the equivalent continuum representation of fractured rock masses. A criterion was alsoproposed to determine the appropriate REV given the fracture distribution of the rock mass.
基金supported by the Finance Science and Technology Project of Hainan Province(No.ZDKJ202019)the Key Research and Development Program of Zhejiang Province(No.2021C03014)the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province(No.LR22E080005),China.
摘要The cement mixing (CM) pile is a common method of improving soft offshore ground. The strength growth of CM piles under complex conditions is affected by many factors, especially the cement and moisture contents, and shows significant uncertainty. To investigate the stochasticity of the early strength of CM piles and its impact on the displacement and stability of a seawall, a series of laboratory tests and numerical analyses were carried out in this study. Vane shear tests were conducted on the cement-solidified soil to determine the relationships between the undrained shear strength su of the cement soil curing in the seawater and the cement content ac, as well as the in situ soil moisture content w. It can be inferred that the 24 h undrained shear strength follows a normal distribution. A numerical model considering the random CM pile strength was established to investigate the deformation of the seawall. Due to the uncertainty of CM pile strength, the displacement of the seawall demonstrates a certain discreteness. The decrease of the mean undrained shear strength of CM piles causes a corresponding increase in the average displacement of the seawall. When the mean strength of CM piles is lower than a certain threshold, there is a risk of instability. Furthermore, the heterogeneity of the strength within an individual CM pile also has an impact on seawall displacement. Attention should be paid to the uncertainty of CM pile strength to control displacement and stability.
摘要This study presents a robust design method for autonomous photovoltaic (PV)-wind hybrid power systems to obtain an optimum system configuration insensitive to design variable variations. This issue has been formulated as a constraint multi-objective optimization problem, which is solved by a multi-objective genetic algorithm, NSGA-II. Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) method, combined with Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS), is applied to evaluate the stochastic system performance. The potential of the proposed method has been demonstrated by a conceptual system design. A comparative study between the proposed robust method and the deterministic method presented in literature has been conducted. The results indicate that the proposed method can find a large mount of Pareto optimal system configurations with better compromising performance than the deterministic method. The trade-off information may be derived by a systematical comparison of these configurations. The proposed robust design method should be useful for hybrid power systems that require both optimality and robustness.
基金Research Funds from North University of China(No.130087)
摘要The mean path length(MPL)of photons is a critical parameter to calculate tissue absorption coefficient as well as blood oxygenation using modified Beer-Lambert law,where in the differential path factor(DPF)is often assumed as constant over range of tissue absorption.By utilizing the Monte Carlo(MC)simulation of photon migrations in the leg,this study used four approaches to estimate MPL,and compared them with that determined by the MPL definition.The simulation results indicate that the DPF is remarkably affected by tissue absorption,at approximate 10% variation.A linear model is suggested to calculate MPL for measurements of tissue absorption as well as blood oxygenation using modified Beer-Lambert law.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2018YFC0213905)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41805068)。
摘要Because of the recent growth in ground-level ozone and increased emission of volatile organic compounds(VOCs),VOC emission control has become a major concern in China.In response,emission caps to control VOC have been stipulated in recent policies,but few of them were constrained by the co-control target of PM2.5and ozone,and discussed the factor that influence the emission cap formulation.Herein,we proposed a framework for quantification of VOC emission caps constrained by targets for PM2.5and ozone via a new response surface modeling(RSM)technique,achieving 50%computational cost savings of the quantification.In the Pearl River Delta(PRD)region,the VOC emission caps constrained by air quality targets varied greatly with the NOxemission reduction level.If control measures in the surrounding areas of the PRD region were not considered,there could be two feasible strategies for VOC emission caps to meet air quality targets(160μg/m3for the maximum 8-hr-average 90th-percentile(MDA8-90%)ozone and 25μg/m3for the annual average of PM2.5):a moderate VOC emission cap with60%NOxemission reductions.If the ozone concentration target were reduced to 155μg/m3,deep NOxemission reductions is the only feasible ozone control measure in PRD.Optimization of seasonal VOC emission caps based on the Monte Carlo simulation could allow us to gain higher ozone benefits or greater VOC emission reductions.If VOC emissions were further reduced in autumn,MDA8-90%ozone could be lowered by 0.3-1.5μg/m3,equaling the ozone benefits of 10%VOC emission reduction measures.The method for VOC emission cap quantification and optimization proposed in this study could provide scientific guidance for coordinated control of regional PM2.5and O3pollution in China.
摘要A method which adopts the combination of least squares support vector machine(LS-SVM) and Monte Carlo(MC) simulation is used to calculate the foundation settlement reliability.When using LS-SVM,choosing the training dataset and the values for LS-SVM parameters is the key.In a representative sense,the orthogonal experimental design with four factors and five levels is used to choose the inputs of the training dataset,and the outputs are calculated by using fast Lagrangian analysis continua(FLAC).The decimal ant colony algorithm(DACA) is also used to determine the parameters.Calculation results show that the values of the two parameters,and δ2 have great effect on the performance of LS-SVM.After the training of LS-SVM,the inputs are sampled according to the probabilistic distribution,and the outputs are predicted with the trained LS-SVM,thus the reliability analysis can be performed by the MC method.A program compiled by Matlab is employed to calculate its reliability.Results show that the method of combining LS-SVM and MC simulation is applicable to the reliability analysis of soft foundation settlement.
摘要The phenomenon of stochastic bifurcation driven by the correlated non-Gaussian colored noise and the Gaussian white noise is investigated by the qualitative changes of steady states with the most probable phase portraits.To arrive at the Markovian approximation of the original non-Markovian stochastic process and derive the general approximate Fokker-Planck equation(FPE),we deal with the non-Gaussian colored noise and then adopt the unified colored noise approximation(UCNA).Subsequently,the theoretical equation concerning the most probable steady states is obtained by the maximum of the stationary probability density function(SPDF).The parameter of the uncorrelated additive noise intensity does enter the governing equation as a non-Markovian effect,which is in contrast to that of the uncorrelated Gaussian white noise case,where the parameter is absent from the governing equation,i.e.,the most probable steady states are mainly controlled by the uncorrelated multiplicative noise.Additionally,in comparison with the deterministic counterpart,some peculiar bifurcation behaviors with regard to the most probable steady states induced by the correlation time of non-Gaussian colored noise,the noise intensity,and the non-Gaussian noise deviation parameter are discussed.Moreover,the symmetry of the stochastic bifurcation diagrams is destroyed when the correlation between noises is concerned.Furthermore,the feasibility and accuracy of the analytical predictions are verified compared with those of the Monte Carlo(MC)simulations of the original system.
基金The work described in this paper was supported by grants from the Research Grant Council of Hong Kong Special Administrative Region,China(Grants Nos.CityU 11213119 and CityU 11202121).The financial support is gratefully acknowledged.
摘要The surge in demand for renewable energy to combat the ever-escalating climate crisis promotes development of the energy-saving,carbon saving and reduction technologies.Shallow ground-source heat pump(GSHP)system is a promising carbon reduction technology that can stably and effectively exploit subsurface geothermal energy by taking advantage of load-bearing structural elements as heat transfer medium.However,the transformation of conventional geo-structures(e.g.piles)into heat exchangers between the ground and superstructures can potentially induce variable thermal axial stresses and displacements in piles.Traditional energy pile analysis methods often rely on deterministic and homogeneous soil parameter profiles for investigating thermo-mechanical soil-structure interaction,without consideration of soil spatial variability,model uncertainty or statistical uncertainty associated with interpolation of soil parameter profiles from limited site-specific measurements.In this study,a random finite difference model(FDM)is proposed to investigate the thermo-mechanical load-transfer mechanism of energy piles in granular soils.Spatially varying soil parameter profile is interpreted from limited site-specific measurements using Bayesian compressive sensing(BCS)with proper considering of soil spatial variability and other uncertainties in the framework of Monte Carlo simulation(MCS).Performance of the proposed method is demonstrated using an illustrative example.Results indicate that the proposed method enables an accurate evaluation of thermally induced axial stress/displacement and variation in null point(NP)location with quantified uncertainty.A series of sensitivity analyses are also carried out to assess effects of the pile-superstructure stiffness and measurement data number on the performance of the proposed method,leading to useful insights.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.11972070,12072118,and 12372029)the Natural Science Funds for Distinguished Young Scholars of the Fujian Province of China(No.2021J06024)。
摘要This paper proposes a novel method for solving the first-passage time probability problem of nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems.The safe domain boundary is exactly imposed into the radial basis function neural network(RBF-NN)architecture such that the solution is an admissible function of the boundary-value problem.In this way,the neural network solution can automatically satisfy the safe domain boundaries and no longer requires adding the corresponding loss terms,thus efficiently handling structure failure problems defined by various safe domain boundaries.The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated through three nonlinear stochastic examples defined by different safe domains,and the results are validated against the extensive Monte Carlo simulations(MCSs).
摘要Traffic incidents are a major cause of non-recurrent congestion and delays,making accu-rate incident duration(ID)prediction essential for effective traffic management.While machine learning(ML)and deep learning(DL)models have been developed to predict ID and its sub-periods(verification,response,and clearance times),their reliability has not been systematically assessed.This study introduces a novel framework to evaluate the reli-ability of these predictions using 4000 traffic incident records.Non-parametric kernel den-sity estimation(KDE)effectively captured variations in the data,outperforming traditional parametric methods.Monte Carlo simulation(MCS)was then used to assess prediction reliability.Among the models tested,bagged ensemble trees provided the best balance between accuracy and complexity,showing strong reliability for predicting total ID and sub-periods.Adding 5–25%buffer adjustments further improved reliability by accounting for prediction uncertainties.This framework offers a robust tool for assessing prediction reliability,is adaptable to various ML and DL models,and represents a significant step for-ward in traffic incident management.
基金The authors gratefully acknowledge the financial support provided by the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province,China(No.BK20180861)the Natural Science Foundation of the Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions of China(No.14KJA210001).
摘要A sequential method for estimating the optical properties of two-layer biological tissues with spatially-resolved diffuse reflectance was proposed and validated using Monte Carlo simulations.The relationship between the penetration depth of detected photons and source-detector separation was first studied.Photons detected at larger source-detector separations generally penetrated deeper into the medium than those detected at small source-detector separations.The effect of each parameter involved in the two-layer diffusion model(i.e.,the absorption and reduced scattering coefficients(μa andμs′)of each layer,and the thickness of top layer)on reflectance was investigated.It was found that the relationship between the optical properties and thickness of top layer was a critical factor in determining whether photons would have sufficient interactions with the top layer and also penetrate into the bottom layer.The constraints for the proposed sequential estimation method were quantitatively determined by the curve fitting procedure coupledwith error contourmap analyses.Results showed that the optical properties of top layer could be determinedwithin 10%error using the semi-infinite diffusion model for reflectance profiles with properly selected start and end points,when the thickness of top layer was larger than two times its mean free path(mfp′).And the optical properties of the bottom layer could be estimatedwithin 10%error by the two-layer diffusion model,when the thickness of top layerwas b16 times its mfp′.The proposed sequential estimation method is promising for improving the estimation of the optical properties of two-layer tissues from the same spatially-resolved reflectance.