In response to the challenges of inadequate predictive accuracy and limited generalization capability in data-driven modeling for the mechanical properties of the cold-rolled strip steel,a predictive modeling method n...In response to the challenges of inadequate predictive accuracy and limited generalization capability in data-driven modeling for the mechanical properties of the cold-rolled strip steel,a predictive modeling method named RFR-WOA is developed based on random forest regression(RFR)and whale optimization algorithm(WOA).Firstly,using Pearson and Spearman correlation analysis and Gini coefficient importance ranking on an actual production dataset containing 37,878 samples,22 key variables are selected as model inputs from 112 variables that affect mechanical properties.Subsequently,an RFR-based predictive model for the mechanical properties of cold-rolled strip steel is constructed.Then,with the combination of the coefficient of determination(R2)and root mean square error as the optimization objective,the hyperparameters of RFR model are iteratively optimized using WOA,and better predictive effectiveness is obtained.Finally,the mechanical properties prediction model based on RFR-WOA is compared with models established using deep neural networks,convolutional neural networks,and other methods.The test results on 9469 samples of actual production data show that the model developed present has better predictive accuracy and generalization capability.展开更多
A switch from avian-typeα-2,3 to human-typeα-2,6 receptors is an essential element for the initiation of a pandemic from an avian influenza virus.Some H9N2 viruses exhibit a preference for binding to human-typeα-2,...A switch from avian-typeα-2,3 to human-typeα-2,6 receptors is an essential element for the initiation of a pandemic from an avian influenza virus.Some H9N2 viruses exhibit a preference for binding to human-typeα-2,6 receptors.This identifies their potential threat to public health.However,our understanding of the molecular basis for the switch of receptor preference is still limited.In this study,we employed the random forest algorithm to identify the potentially key amino acid sites within hemagglutinin(HA),which are associated with the receptor binding ability of H9N2 avian influenza virus(AIV).Subsequently,these sites were further verified by receptor binding assays.A total of 12 substitutions in the HA protein(N158D,N158S,A160 N,A160D,A160T,T163I,T163V,V190T,V190A,D193 N,D193G,and N231D)were predicted to prefer binding toα-2,6 receptors.Except for the V190T substitution,the other substitutions were demonstrated to display an affinity for preferential binding toα-2,6 receptors by receptor binding assays.Especially,the A160T substitution caused a significant upregulation of immune-response genes and an increased mortality rate in mice.Our findings provide novel insights into understanding the genetic basis of receptor preference of the H9N2 AIV.展开更多
The aim of this study is to evaluate the ability of the random forest algorithm that combines data on transrectal ultrasound findings, age, and serum levels of prostate-specific antigen to predict prostate carcinoma. ...The aim of this study is to evaluate the ability of the random forest algorithm that combines data on transrectal ultrasound findings, age, and serum levels of prostate-specific antigen to predict prostate carcinoma. Clinico-demographic data were analyzed for 941 patients with prostate diseases treated at our hospital, including age, serum prostate-specific antigen levels, transrectal ultrasound findings, and pathology diagnosis based on ultrasound-guided needle biopsy of the prostate. These data were compared between patients with and without prostate cancer using the Chi-square test, and then entered into the random forest model to predict diagnosis. Patients with and without prostate cancer differed significantly in age and serum prostate-specific antigen levels (P 〈 0.001), as well as in all transrectal ultrasound characteristics (P 〈 0.05) except uneven echo (P = 0.609). The random forest model based on age, prostate-specific antigen and ultrasound predicted prostate cancer with an accuracy of 83.10%, sensitivity of 65.64%, and specificity of 93.83%. Positive predictive value was 86.72%, and negative predictive value was 81.64%. By integrating age, prostate-specific antigen levels and transrectal ultrasound findings, the random forest algorithm shows better diagnostic performance for prostate cancer than either diagnostic indicator on its own. This algorithm may help improve diagnosis of the disease by identifying patients at high risk for biopsy.展开更多
Real-time intelligent lithology identification while drilling is vital to realizing downhole closed-loop drilling. The complex and changeable geological environment in the drilling makes lithology identification face ...Real-time intelligent lithology identification while drilling is vital to realizing downhole closed-loop drilling. The complex and changeable geological environment in the drilling makes lithology identification face many challenges. This paper studies the problems of difficult feature information extraction,low precision of thin-layer identification and limited applicability of the model in intelligent lithologic identification. The author tries to improve the comprehensive performance of the lithology identification model from three aspects: data feature extraction, class balance, and model design. A new real-time intelligent lithology identification model of dynamic felling strategy weighted random forest algorithm(DFW-RF) is proposed. According to the feature selection results, gamma ray and 2 MHz phase resistivity are the logging while drilling(LWD) parameters that significantly influence lithology identification. The comprehensive performance of the DFW-RF lithology identification model has been verified in the application of 3 wells in different areas. By comparing the prediction results of five typical lithology identification algorithms, the DFW-RF model has a higher lithology identification accuracy rate and F1 score. This model improves the identification accuracy of thin-layer lithology and is effective and feasible in different geological environments. The DFW-RF model plays a truly efficient role in the realtime intelligent identification of lithologic information in closed-loop drilling and has greater applicability, which is worthy of being widely used in logging interpretation.展开更多
Precise recovery of CoalbedMethane(CBM)based on transparent reconstruction of geological conditions is a branch of intelligent mining.The process of permeability reconstruction,ranging from data perception to real-tim...Precise recovery of CoalbedMethane(CBM)based on transparent reconstruction of geological conditions is a branch of intelligent mining.The process of permeability reconstruction,ranging from data perception to real-time data visualization,is applicable to disaster risk warning and intelligent decision-making on gas drainage.In this study,a machine learning method integrating the Random Forest(RF)and the Genetic Algorithm(GA)was established for permeability prediction in the Xishan Coalfield based on Uniaxial Compressive Strength(UCS),effective stress,temperature and gas pressure.A total of 50 sets of data collected by a self-developed apparatus were used to generate datasets for training and validating models.Statistical measures including the coefficient of determination(R2)and Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)were selected to validate and compare the predictive performances of the single RF model and the hybrid RF–GA model.Furthermore,sensitivity studies were conducted to evaluate the importance of input parameters.The results show that,the proposed RF–GA model is robust in predicting the permeability;UCS is directly correlated to permeability,while all other inputs are inversely related to permeability;the effective stress exerts the greatest impact on permeability based on importance score,followed by the temperature(or gas pressure)and UCS.The partial dependence plots,indicative of marginal utility of each feature in permeability prediction,are in line with experimental results.Thus,the proposed hybrid model(RF–GA)is capable of predicting permeability and thus beneficial to precise CBMrecovery.展开更多
During construction,the shield linings of tunnels often face the problem of local or overall upward movement after leaving the shield tail in soft soil areas or during some large diameter shield projects.Differential ...During construction,the shield linings of tunnels often face the problem of local or overall upward movement after leaving the shield tail in soft soil areas or during some large diameter shield projects.Differential floating will increase the initial stress on the segments and bolts which is harmful to the service performance of the tunnel.In this study we used a random forest(RF)algorithm combined particle swarm optimization(PSO)and 5-fold cross-validation(5-fold CV)to predict the maximum upward displacement of tunnel linings induced by shield tunnel excavation.The mechanism and factors causing upward movement of the tunnel lining are comprehensively summarized.Twelve input variables were selected according to results from analysis of influencing factors.The prediction performance of two models,PSO-RF and RF(default)were compared.The Gini value was obtained to represent the relative importance of the influencing factors to the upward displacement of linings.The PSO-RF model successfully predicted the maximum upward displacement of the tunnel linings with a low error(mean absolute error(MAE)=4.04 mm,root mean square error(RMSE)=5.67 mm)and high correlation(R2=0.915).The thrust and depth of the tunnel were the most important factors in the prediction model influencing the upward displacement of the tunnel linings.展开更多
Aiming at the poor location accuracy caused by the harsh and complex underground environment,long strip roadway,limited wireless transmission and sparse anchor nodes,an underground location algorithm based on random f...Aiming at the poor location accuracy caused by the harsh and complex underground environment,long strip roadway,limited wireless transmission and sparse anchor nodes,an underground location algorithm based on random forest and compensation for environmental factors was proposed.Firstly,the underground wireless access point(AP)network model and tunnel environment were analyzed,and the fingerprint location algorithm was built.And then the Received Signal Strength(RSS)was analyzed by Kalman Filter algorithm in the offline sampling and real-time positioning stage.Meanwhile,the target speed constraint condition was introduced to reduce the error caused by environmental factors.The experimental results show that the proposed algorithm solves the problem of insufficient location accuracy and large fluctuation affected by environment when the anchor nodes are sparse.At the same time,the average location accuracy reaches three meters,which can satisfy the application of underground rescue,activity track playback,disaster monitoring and positioning.It has high application value in complex underground environment.展开更多
The random forest algorithm was applied to study the nuclear binding energy and charge radius.The regularized root-mean-square of error(RMSE)was proposed to avoid overfitting during the training of random forest.RMSE ...The random forest algorithm was applied to study the nuclear binding energy and charge radius.The regularized root-mean-square of error(RMSE)was proposed to avoid overfitting during the training of random forest.RMSE for nuclides with Z,N>7 is reduced to 0.816 MeV and 0.0200 fm compared with the six-term liquid drop model and a three-term nuclear charge radius formula,respectively.Specific interest is in the possible(sub)shells among the superheavy region,which is important for searching for new elements and the island of stability.The significance of shell features estimated by the so-called shapely additive explanation method suggests(Z,N)=(92,142)and(98,156)as possible subshells indicated by the binding energy.Because the present observed data is far from the N=184 shell,which is suggested by mean-field investigations,its shell effect is not predicted based on present training.The significance analysis of the nuclear charge radius suggests Z=92 and N=136 as possible subshells.The effect is verified by the shell-corrected nuclear charge radius model.展开更多
Precise and timely prediction of crop yields is crucial for food security and the development of agricultural policies.However,crop yield is influenced by multiple factors within complex growth environments.Previous r...Precise and timely prediction of crop yields is crucial for food security and the development of agricultural policies.However,crop yield is influenced by multiple factors within complex growth environments.Previous research has paid relatively little attention to the interference of environmental factors and drought on the growth of winter wheat.Therefore,there is an urgent need for more effective methods to explore the inherent relationship between these factors and crop yield,making precise yield prediction increasingly important.This study was based on four type of indicators including meteorological,crop growth status,environmental,and drought index,from October 2003 to June 2019 in Henan Province as the basic data for predicting winter wheat yield.Using the sparrow search al-gorithm combined with random forest(SSA-RF)under different input indicators,accuracy of winter wheat yield estimation was calcu-lated.The estimation accuracy of SSA-RF was compared with partial least squares regression(PLSR),extreme gradient boosting(XG-Boost),and random forest(RF)models.Finally,the determined optimal yield estimation method was used to predict winter wheat yield in three typical years.Following are the findings:1)the SSA-RF demonstrates superior performance in estimating winter wheat yield compared to other algorithms.The best yield estimation method is achieved by four types indicators’composition with SSA-RF)(R2=0.805,RRMSE=9.9%.2)Crops growth status and environmental indicators play significant roles in wheat yield estimation,accounting for 46%and 22%of the yield importance among all indicators,respectively.3)Selecting indicators from October to April of the follow-ing year yielded the highest accuracy in winter wheat yield estimation,with an R2of 0.826 and an RMSE of 9.0%.Yield estimates can be completed two months before the winter wheat harvest in June.4)The predicted performance will be slightly affected by severe drought.Compared with severe drought year(2011)(R2=0.680)and normal year(2017)(R2=0.790),the SSA-RF model has higher prediction accuracy for wet year(2018)(R2=0.820).This study could provide an innovative approach for remote sensing estimation of winter wheat yield.yield.展开更多
During shield tunneling,ground deformation poses significant safety risks.The full optimization strategy ignores interactions between parameters,resulting in suboptimal performance in the pre-control of settlement in ...During shield tunneling,ground deformation poses significant safety risks.The full optimization strategy ignores interactions between parameters,resulting in suboptimal performance in the pre-control of settlement in earth pressure balance shields.To address this problem,this paper proposes an integrated strategy that combines optimization and inversion,minimizing parameter interaction interference through adaptive adjustment of shield operation parameters.This mechanism performs an optimization search on the key operation parameters for settlement control,while the remaining operation parameters are predicted through inversion.Taking the Changchun Metro Line 6 project as an example,a bidirectional long short-term memory(Bi-LSTM)model enhanced by a multi-head self-attention(MHSA)mechanism is used to predict shield tunneling-induced settlement with spatiotemporal sequence dependency relationships.Particle swarm optimization and a random forest algorithm are used for optimization and inversion operations in the integrated mechanism,respectively.Subsequent ring position tests showed that the integrated mechanism-based adaptive adjustment strategy limited the average fluctuation of uncontrollable parameters to±13.95%compared to±34.27%for the full optimization strategy.The actual average settlement was only 3.81 mm compared to 4.72 mm for the full optimization strategy through collaborative parameter adjustment.The application validated the feasibility and applicability of the integrated mechanism,providing important references for the adaptive adjustment of shield parameters and tunnel construction automation.展开更多
Canopy Nitrogen Concentration (CNC) is a key indicator of crop yields. It is feasible to establish a real- time regional model to estimate CNC by upscaling the field-scale spectral model. This study focuses on monit...Canopy Nitrogen Concentration (CNC) is a key indicator of crop yields. It is feasible to establish a real- time regional model to estimate CNC by upscaling the field-scale spectral model. This study focuses on monitoring the CNC in rice on a large scale in real-time. The Random Forest (RF) algorithm is used to establish the CNC spectral inversion model, and some vegetation indexes that are sensitive to nitrogen were selected as input parameters for the RF. CNC was selected as an output parameter. The hyperspectral and biochemical data were collected in a paddy in Changchun City, Jilin Province, China, and the data in Suzhou was used to test the model's universality and effectiveness. Two regional-scale models were developed by applying scale transformation based on the input and output variables respectively. The results show that the RFCNC model (CNC spectral inversion model based on the RF algorithm) performed accurately and significantly improved upon existing methods. R2, used to validate method accuracy in Changchun and Suzhou, was 0.82 and 0.73 respectively. The regional application accuracy increased (R2= 0. 81) through the two upscaling methods using hyperspectral remote sensing satellite images. This study suggests that this method is promising for estimating regional CNC in rice by upscaling a field-scale spectral model if the strategy is appropriately selected.展开更多
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant 62573375)the Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province(Grant F2024203038)+2 种基金the Science and Technology Research and Development Plan Project of Qinhuangdao City(Grant 202302B048)the Provincial Key Laboratory Performance Subsidy Project(Grant 22567612H)the Shandong Provincial Natural Science Foundation Youth Project(ZR2023QF044)。
摘要In response to the challenges of inadequate predictive accuracy and limited generalization capability in data-driven modeling for the mechanical properties of the cold-rolled strip steel,a predictive modeling method named RFR-WOA is developed based on random forest regression(RFR)and whale optimization algorithm(WOA).Firstly,using Pearson and Spearman correlation analysis and Gini coefficient importance ranking on an actual production dataset containing 37,878 samples,22 key variables are selected as model inputs from 112 variables that affect mechanical properties.Subsequently,an RFR-based predictive model for the mechanical properties of cold-rolled strip steel is constructed.Then,with the combination of the coefficient of determination(R2)and root mean square error as the optimization objective,the hyperparameters of RFR model are iteratively optimized using WOA,and better predictive effectiveness is obtained.Finally,the mechanical properties prediction model based on RFR-WOA is compared with models established using deep neural networks,convolutional neural networks,and other methods.The test results on 9469 samples of actual production data show that the model developed present has better predictive accuracy and generalization capability.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(32273037 and 32102636)the Guangdong Major Project of Basic and Applied Basic Research(2020B0301030007)+4 种基金Laboratory of Lingnan Modern Agriculture Project(NT2021007)the Guangdong Science and Technology Innovation Leading Talent Program(2019TX05N098)the 111 Center(D20008)the double first-class discipline promotion project(2023B10564003)the Department of Education of Guangdong Province(2019KZDXM004 and 2019KCXTD001).
摘要A switch from avian-typeα-2,3 to human-typeα-2,6 receptors is an essential element for the initiation of a pandemic from an avian influenza virus.Some H9N2 viruses exhibit a preference for binding to human-typeα-2,6 receptors.This identifies their potential threat to public health.However,our understanding of the molecular basis for the switch of receptor preference is still limited.In this study,we employed the random forest algorithm to identify the potentially key amino acid sites within hemagglutinin(HA),which are associated with the receptor binding ability of H9N2 avian influenza virus(AIV).Subsequently,these sites were further verified by receptor binding assays.A total of 12 substitutions in the HA protein(N158D,N158S,A160 N,A160D,A160T,T163I,T163V,V190T,V190A,D193 N,D193G,and N231D)were predicted to prefer binding toα-2,6 receptors.Except for the V190T substitution,the other substitutions were demonstrated to display an affinity for preferential binding toα-2,6 receptors by receptor binding assays.Especially,the A160T substitution caused a significant upregulation of immune-response genes and an increased mortality rate in mice.Our findings provide novel insights into understanding the genetic basis of receptor preference of the H9N2 AIV.
摘要The aim of this study is to evaluate the ability of the random forest algorithm that combines data on transrectal ultrasound findings, age, and serum levels of prostate-specific antigen to predict prostate carcinoma. Clinico-demographic data were analyzed for 941 patients with prostate diseases treated at our hospital, including age, serum prostate-specific antigen levels, transrectal ultrasound findings, and pathology diagnosis based on ultrasound-guided needle biopsy of the prostate. These data were compared between patients with and without prostate cancer using the Chi-square test, and then entered into the random forest model to predict diagnosis. Patients with and without prostate cancer differed significantly in age and serum prostate-specific antigen levels (P 〈 0.001), as well as in all transrectal ultrasound characteristics (P 〈 0.05) except uneven echo (P = 0.609). The random forest model based on age, prostate-specific antigen and ultrasound predicted prostate cancer with an accuracy of 83.10%, sensitivity of 65.64%, and specificity of 93.83%. Positive predictive value was 86.72%, and negative predictive value was 81.64%. By integrating age, prostate-specific antigen levels and transrectal ultrasound findings, the random forest algorithm shows better diagnostic performance for prostate cancer than either diagnostic indicator on its own. This algorithm may help improve diagnosis of the disease by identifying patients at high risk for biopsy.
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52174001)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52004064)+1 种基金the Hainan Province Science and Technology Special Fund “Research on Real-time Intelligent Sensing Technology for Closed-loop Drilling of Oil and Gas Reservoirs in Deepwater Drilling”(ZDYF2023GXJS012)Heilongjiang Provincial Government and Daqing Oilfield's first batch of the scientific and technological key project “Research on the Construction Technology of Gulong Shale Oil Big Data Analysis System”(DQYT-2022-JS-750)。
摘要Real-time intelligent lithology identification while drilling is vital to realizing downhole closed-loop drilling. The complex and changeable geological environment in the drilling makes lithology identification face many challenges. This paper studies the problems of difficult feature information extraction,low precision of thin-layer identification and limited applicability of the model in intelligent lithologic identification. The author tries to improve the comprehensive performance of the lithology identification model from three aspects: data feature extraction, class balance, and model design. A new real-time intelligent lithology identification model of dynamic felling strategy weighted random forest algorithm(DFW-RF) is proposed. According to the feature selection results, gamma ray and 2 MHz phase resistivity are the logging while drilling(LWD) parameters that significantly influence lithology identification. The comprehensive performance of the DFW-RF lithology identification model has been verified in the application of 3 wells in different areas. By comparing the prediction results of five typical lithology identification algorithms, the DFW-RF model has a higher lithology identification accuracy rate and F1 score. This model improves the identification accuracy of thin-layer lithology and is effective and feasible in different geological environments. The DFW-RF model plays a truly efficient role in the realtime intelligent identification of lithologic information in closed-loop drilling and has greater applicability, which is worthy of being widely used in logging interpretation.
基金This work has been supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities[2017XKZD06].
摘要Precise recovery of CoalbedMethane(CBM)based on transparent reconstruction of geological conditions is a branch of intelligent mining.The process of permeability reconstruction,ranging from data perception to real-time data visualization,is applicable to disaster risk warning and intelligent decision-making on gas drainage.In this study,a machine learning method integrating the Random Forest(RF)and the Genetic Algorithm(GA)was established for permeability prediction in the Xishan Coalfield based on Uniaxial Compressive Strength(UCS),effective stress,temperature and gas pressure.A total of 50 sets of data collected by a self-developed apparatus were used to generate datasets for training and validating models.Statistical measures including the coefficient of determination(R2)and Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)were selected to validate and compare the predictive performances of the single RF model and the hybrid RF–GA model.Furthermore,sensitivity studies were conducted to evaluate the importance of input parameters.The results show that,the proposed RF–GA model is robust in predicting the permeability;UCS is directly correlated to permeability,while all other inputs are inversely related to permeability;the effective stress exerts the greatest impact on permeability based on importance score,followed by the temperature(or gas pressure)and UCS.The partial dependence plots,indicative of marginal utility of each feature in permeability prediction,are in line with experimental results.Thus,the proposed hybrid model(RF–GA)is capable of predicting permeability and thus beneficial to precise CBMrecovery.
基金supported by the Basic Science Center Program for Multiphase Evolution in Hyper Gravity of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51988101)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52178306)the Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China(No.LR19E080002).
摘要During construction,the shield linings of tunnels often face the problem of local or overall upward movement after leaving the shield tail in soft soil areas or during some large diameter shield projects.Differential floating will increase the initial stress on the segments and bolts which is harmful to the service performance of the tunnel.In this study we used a random forest(RF)algorithm combined particle swarm optimization(PSO)and 5-fold cross-validation(5-fold CV)to predict the maximum upward displacement of tunnel linings induced by shield tunnel excavation.The mechanism and factors causing upward movement of the tunnel lining are comprehensively summarized.Twelve input variables were selected according to results from analysis of influencing factors.The prediction performance of two models,PSO-RF and RF(default)were compared.The Gini value was obtained to represent the relative importance of the influencing factors to the upward displacement of linings.The PSO-RF model successfully predicted the maximum upward displacement of the tunnel linings with a low error(mean absolute error(MAE)=4.04 mm,root mean square error(RMSE)=5.67 mm)and high correlation(R2=0.915).The thrust and depth of the tunnel were the most important factors in the prediction model influencing the upward displacement of the tunnel linings.
基金The work was supported by Projects of Natural Science Foundational in Higher Education Institutions of Anhui Province(KJ2017A449)Chaohu University’s Innovation and Entrepreneurship Training Program for Provincial College Students in 2019(No.S201910380042)。
摘要Aiming at the poor location accuracy caused by the harsh and complex underground environment,long strip roadway,limited wireless transmission and sparse anchor nodes,an underground location algorithm based on random forest and compensation for environmental factors was proposed.Firstly,the underground wireless access point(AP)network model and tunnel environment were analyzed,and the fingerprint location algorithm was built.And then the Received Signal Strength(RSS)was analyzed by Kalman Filter algorithm in the offline sampling and real-time positioning stage.Meanwhile,the target speed constraint condition was introduced to reduce the error caused by environmental factors.The experimental results show that the proposed algorithm solves the problem of insufficient location accuracy and large fluctuation affected by environment when the anchor nodes are sparse.At the same time,the average location accuracy reaches three meters,which can satisfy the application of underground rescue,activity track playback,disaster monitoring and positioning.It has high application value in complex underground environment.
基金Supported by Basic and Applied Basic Research Project of Guangdong Province(2021B0301030006)。
摘要The random forest algorithm was applied to study the nuclear binding energy and charge radius.The regularized root-mean-square of error(RMSE)was proposed to avoid overfitting during the training of random forest.RMSE for nuclides with Z,N>7 is reduced to 0.816 MeV and 0.0200 fm compared with the six-term liquid drop model and a three-term nuclear charge radius formula,respectively.Specific interest is in the possible(sub)shells among the superheavy region,which is important for searching for new elements and the island of stability.The significance of shell features estimated by the so-called shapely additive explanation method suggests(Z,N)=(92,142)and(98,156)as possible subshells indicated by the binding energy.Because the present observed data is far from the N=184 shell,which is suggested by mean-field investigations,its shell effect is not predicted based on present training.The significance analysis of the nuclear charge radius suggests Z=92 and N=136 as possible subshells.The effect is verified by the shell-corrected nuclear charge radius model.
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52079103)。
摘要Precise and timely prediction of crop yields is crucial for food security and the development of agricultural policies.However,crop yield is influenced by multiple factors within complex growth environments.Previous research has paid relatively little attention to the interference of environmental factors and drought on the growth of winter wheat.Therefore,there is an urgent need for more effective methods to explore the inherent relationship between these factors and crop yield,making precise yield prediction increasingly important.This study was based on four type of indicators including meteorological,crop growth status,environmental,and drought index,from October 2003 to June 2019 in Henan Province as the basic data for predicting winter wheat yield.Using the sparrow search al-gorithm combined with random forest(SSA-RF)under different input indicators,accuracy of winter wheat yield estimation was calcu-lated.The estimation accuracy of SSA-RF was compared with partial least squares regression(PLSR),extreme gradient boosting(XG-Boost),and random forest(RF)models.Finally,the determined optimal yield estimation method was used to predict winter wheat yield in three typical years.Following are the findings:1)the SSA-RF demonstrates superior performance in estimating winter wheat yield compared to other algorithms.The best yield estimation method is achieved by four types indicators’composition with SSA-RF)(R2=0.805,RRMSE=9.9%.2)Crops growth status and environmental indicators play significant roles in wheat yield estimation,accounting for 46%and 22%of the yield importance among all indicators,respectively.3)Selecting indicators from October to April of the follow-ing year yielded the highest accuracy in winter wheat yield estimation,with an R2of 0.826 and an RMSE of 9.0%.Yield estimates can be completed two months before the winter wheat harvest in June.4)The predicted performance will be slightly affected by severe drought.Compared with severe drought year(2011)(R2=0.680)and normal year(2017)(R2=0.790),the SSA-RF model has higher prediction accuracy for wet year(2018)(R2=0.820).This study could provide an innovative approach for remote sensing estimation of winter wheat yield.yield.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51578263)the Jilin Provincial Department of Transport Project,China.
摘要During shield tunneling,ground deformation poses significant safety risks.The full optimization strategy ignores interactions between parameters,resulting in suboptimal performance in the pre-control of settlement in earth pressure balance shields.To address this problem,this paper proposes an integrated strategy that combines optimization and inversion,minimizing parameter interaction interference through adaptive adjustment of shield operation parameters.This mechanism performs an optimization search on the key operation parameters for settlement control,while the remaining operation parameters are predicted through inversion.Taking the Changchun Metro Line 6 project as an example,a bidirectional long short-term memory(Bi-LSTM)model enhanced by a multi-head self-attention(MHSA)mechanism is used to predict shield tunneling-induced settlement with spatiotemporal sequence dependency relationships.Particle swarm optimization and a random forest algorithm are used for optimization and inversion operations in the integrated mechanism,respectively.Subsequent ring position tests showed that the integrated mechanism-based adaptive adjustment strategy limited the average fluctuation of uncontrollable parameters to±13.95%compared to±34.27%for the full optimization strategy.The actual average settlement was only 3.81 mm compared to 4.72 mm for the full optimization strategy through collaborative parameter adjustment.The application validated the feasibility and applicability of the integrated mechanism,providing important references for the adaptive adjustment of shield parameters and tunnel construction automation.
基金Foundation: National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.41371407, 40771155)
摘要Canopy Nitrogen Concentration (CNC) is a key indicator of crop yields. It is feasible to establish a real- time regional model to estimate CNC by upscaling the field-scale spectral model. This study focuses on monitoring the CNC in rice on a large scale in real-time. The Random Forest (RF) algorithm is used to establish the CNC spectral inversion model, and some vegetation indexes that are sensitive to nitrogen were selected as input parameters for the RF. CNC was selected as an output parameter. The hyperspectral and biochemical data were collected in a paddy in Changchun City, Jilin Province, China, and the data in Suzhou was used to test the model's universality and effectiveness. Two regional-scale models were developed by applying scale transformation based on the input and output variables respectively. The results show that the RFCNC model (CNC spectral inversion model based on the RF algorithm) performed accurately and significantly improved upon existing methods. R2, used to validate method accuracy in Changchun and Suzhou, was 0.82 and 0.73 respectively. The regional application accuracy increased (R2= 0. 81) through the two upscaling methods using hyperspectral remote sensing satellite images. This study suggests that this method is promising for estimating regional CNC in rice by upscaling a field-scale spectral model if the strategy is appropriately selected.